Well, I haven’t been that wrong about an election since 2006! Humility comes for us all in politics, but it is too rare that those it comes for answer its call. I shall. I am glad to eat my crow (side of cookie dough, because pregnant) in the face of this weird, totally non-wavy midterm with giant New York and Florida asterisks. It’s not that I think anyone puts too much stock in my predictions, but it’s important to acknowledge in the political professional world when you mess it up. As I said on CNN in 2016, the day after the election, before which I had predicted a very close election that Trump would ultimately lose because of Hillary’s ground game (haha):
“It wasn’t just that we were wrong. It was that you were wrong, and you were wrong, and YOU were wrong. Almost everyone was so wrong, it was like Oprah’s Favorite Things of being wrong!”
So, if we want to do losers and winners, my predictions were some of the losers. Shout-out to a few people who got it way more right— Tom Bonier, Simon Rosenberg, Amy Walter. I should have published this sooner, but as votes were tallied, sometimes way too slowly, my thoughts kept changing! You can listen to some of the early thoughts, here:
Now, the big, obvious winner and loser.